What is the fair price of company stock?

Feb 13, 2007 by Alexander | Posted in Mathematics

The of GulfOil company is traded today at $100.

Analysts concluded that if hurricane strikes this year,
the stock price of GulfOil will be $80 one year later,
and $160 otherwise.

They also predict that if

Hmmm, let's see if I can replicate GD with GO and cash. If I hold x shares of GD and invest y dollars in the prime market, then at the end of one year I have:

80a + 1.1b if hurricane
160a + 1.1b is no hurricane

So

Phineas Bogg | Feb 13, 2007

Hmmm, let's see if I can replicate GD with GO and cash. If I hold x shares of GD and invest y dollars in the prime market, then at the end of one year I have:

80a + 1.1b if hurricane
160a + 1.1b is no hurricane

So
Ben | Feb 13, 2007

Demand forecast question?

Nov 15, 2010 by c_crash84 | Posted in Economics

I have an assignment that requires me to forecast demand given economic conditions such as unemployment, bank prime loan rates, and the number of new house starts

I have no clue which forecasting method to use!
I started with Winters

You need a CGE model using mostly by the FED. Who gave you this assignment, should provide you with a CD which you can run such a model. You just predict the exogenous variables to get the endogenous variables such as GDP, unemployment rate, bank rate,

Anjaree | Nov 15, 2010

US Prime Rate Forecast for 2011

www.wsjprimerate.us primerate.wsjprimerate.us Where is the US Prime Rate headed in 2001?

Australian Economy Grows Weaker Than Forecast

18.05.12

(RTTNews.com) - The Australian economy expanded notably weaker than forecast by economists in the December quarter as business investment declined, the latest figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed Wednesday.

The seasonally adjusted gross domestic product expanded 0.4 percent sequentially during the December quarter, slower than the economists' forecast for a 0.8 percent expansion. The September quarter figure was revised down from the previously estimated 1 percent.

The main drag on growth was private sector investment, which declined 1.5 percent from the previous quarter. It deducted 0.4 percentage points from the overall growth rate. Meanwhile, household final consumption expenditure added 0.3 percentage points based on its 0.5 percent growth.

Source: NASDAQ

prime rate forecast - Bookshelf


Bank Management
888 pages 		Bank Management

Creator: Timothy W. Koch, S. Scott MacDonald | Business & Economics - 2009-07-20
However, the loan's effective rate sensitivity depends on how frequently the prime rate actually changes. For the GAP figures to be most meaningful, management must forecast when the prime rate will change. The full amount of principal ...
Publisher: South-Western Pub
The Bankers magazine The Bankers magazine

Business & Economics - 1983
... prime rate and missed on average by 2.8 percent, an 18 percent variance from the actual 15.75 percent prime. Understandably, many asset/liability managers have lost confidence in decisions based on interest rate forecasts.
Economic forecasting, the state of the art
201 pages 		Economic forecasting, the state of the art

Creator: Elia Kacapyr | Business & Economics - 1996
The 0.33 for the interest rate indicates that the prime rate rose 0.33 percent in 1948 from its level in 1947. ... These results could be used to make conditional forecasts. If interest rates fall by 1 percent, housing starts are ...
Publisher: M E Sharpe Inc

prime rate forecast - News


Brett Arends
MarketWatch - Apr 29, 2011
So we're just looking at men of prime working age, 25 to 54. The number who are now in work: Just 75%. In other words 25%, or one in four, lacks a full-time job. These are stunning numbers. Depression-type unemployment rates. No wonder gold is booming,

Italy March Unemployment Rate Increases to 8.3% as Recovery Loses Momentum
Bloomberg - Apr 29, 2011
The unemployment rate rose to 8.3 percent from a revised 8.2 percent in February, Rome-based national statistics institute Istat said in a preliminary estimate today. The rate was less than the median 8.4 percent forecast by six economists in a

DIARY - Turkey - to June 17, 2011
Reuters - May 02, 2011
KEY INDICATORS DATE GMT/LOCAL INDICATOR PERIOD PRIOR 3/5 0700/1000 CPI m/m April 0.42% 3/5 0700/1000 CPI y/y April 3.99% 3/5 0700/1000 PPI m/m April 1.22% 3/5 0700/1000 PPI y/y April 10.08% 6/5 1130/1430 CPI forecast 2 week N/A 9/5 0700/1000 Industrial

Spanish Unemployment Rate Rises to More Than 21% as Inflation Accelerates
Bloomberg - Apr 29, 2011
The government expects the jobless rate to average 19.8 percent this year, the Finance Ministry said on April 6, compared with a previous forecast of 19.3 percent. The economy will expand 1.3 percent in 2011 after two years of contraction,

Japanese Yen At Risk As Speculation For Intervention Resurface
Daily FX - Apr 30, 2011
As Standard and Poor's lowers it credit outlook for the region to negative, the BoJ may face increased pressures to underwrite public debt as Prime Minister Naoto Kan tries to push a JPT 4 trillion stimulus package to aid with the relief efforts,

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